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Monthly Archives: August 2011

347 fans for a Marlins Reds game

Wow – only 347 fans showed up for a Marlins Reds game:

http://www.nesn.com/2011/08/marlins-reds-game-draws-estimated-347-fans-ushering-in-new-low-for-florida-baseball.html

Granted it was a game that was rescheduled, but maybe Major League baseball has too many games or too may teams?

August 28, 2011 Dan Leave a comment

Oil vs Gold

Here is an interesting analysis on the gold /oil ratio (if you google gold/oil ratio you will a find a bunch more):

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/News/2011/2/Pages/How-to-Use-the-GoldCrude-Oil-Ratio.aspx

It appears that the current ratio of about 21 indicates either gold is too expensive of oil is too cheap.  Granted both oil and gold prices are up dramatically in the last 5 years, but it seems like real demand for oil would favor the oil side of the equation.  Here is a decent historical chart of the gold/oil ratio:

With Oil priced in the low $80’s, perhaps this is one commodity that isnt overpriced in todays world.  It would seem that even if international political progress was made on carbon emissions for fossil fuels, coal would be the likely first target, maybe even increasing demand on oil.  So anybody thinking of investing in gold at current price levels, you may want to consider oil as a lower risk alternative.

Here is an interesting chart on projected oil consumption:

chart

The Orange bars are demand from developing countries – which has grown primarily due to increased wealth in those countries.  While western demand may continue to drop as the economy slows and efficiency gains are made, it doesnt seem likely that the orange bar curve will change too much in the near future.

 

 

 

 

 

 

August 21, 2011 Dan 1 Comment

The explanation for Thursdays 5% Market crash

After Thursdays market ‘correction’ of 5%, I did not see a suitable explanation for why the market suddenly had its worst day since February 2009.  Thats because the explanation probably didnt come out until Friday afternoon, when the US Debt credit rating drop was announced.

Its a reasonable theory that the news of the credit rating drop was decided Thursday and acted upon by Wall Street indiders prior to the announcement.  Anybody have a better theory?  It seems logical that the White House would have asked S&P to delay the public announcement until the Friday Night News dump  – the time when Washington typically releases bad news hoping that it will be old news by the time everybody comes back from the weekend.  To have no one even discussiong the tieing of Thursdays Market drop  to this huge financial news makes no sense to me.  Another reason to look for alternative investments to the Stock Market.

August 6, 2011 Dan Leave a comment

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